Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.011772 0.014340 0.017594 0.022131 0.028477 0.037352 0.051327
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.008544 0.011310 0.015285 0.021749 0.032756 0.052549 0.096677
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.006637 0.009189 0.013120 0.020124 0.033664 0.062841 0.150296
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.005525 0.007901 0.011757 0.019129 0.034937 0.074981 0.238400
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004869 0.007167 0.011073 0.019050 0.037997 0.095065 0.440889
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004454 0.006735 0.010792 0.019636 0.043007 0.128853 1.056667
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004064 0.006276 0.010351 0.019720 0.046841 0.166900 2.932261
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003651 0.005716 0.009606 0.018873 0.047445 0.192934 7.889586
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003352 0.005321 0.009120 0.018513 0.049530 0.235752 55.238436
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003209 0.005196 0.009158 0.019501 0.057408 0.358262 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003129 0.005175 0.009411 0.021173 0.070076 0.648530 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003054 0.005153 0.009658 0.022949 0.086028 1.347455 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002845 0.004866 0.009304 0.022955 0.094258 2.410203 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002637 0.004557 0.008858 0.022551 0.100273 4.411164 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002392 0.004149 0.008106 0.020844 0.095122 5.161678 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002207 0.003848 0.007579 0.019799 0.094235 7.528098 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002086 0.003670 0.007334 0.019716 0.101546 21.281776 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002005 0.003571 0.007274 0.020331 0.117145 446.326719 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001911 0.003435 0.007097 0.020419 0.128564 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001792 0.003231 0.006712 0.019531 0.127381 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001701 0.003084 0.006463 0.019153 0.132532 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001663 0.003053 0.006527 0.020189 0.161622 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001646 0.003066 0.006720 0.021946 0.214861 NaN NaN